From family-friendly to couples-focused, there are so many options this year! Whether you want to get dressed up or just have a low key night with the kids, we’ve got you covered. This list includes all of our favorite spots and what they’re doing on December 31st. Happy New Year!

Go to these websites for a full list of events!

Family-Friendly Events  https://livingmividaloca.com/new-years-eve-celebrations-in-southern-california/
More Adult Focused Events  https://livingmividaloca.com/orange-county-new-years-eve-events/

Keeping Current Matters | Dec 26, 2022

Are you prepping to buy your first home? If so, one of the steps you should take early on is making sure you’re financially ready for your purchase. Here are just a few of the financial fundamentals you’ll need to focus on as you set out to buy a home.

Build Your Credit

Your credit is one element that helps determine which home loan you’ll qualify for. It also impacts your mortgage interest rate. While there are many factors that go into your mortgage application, a higher credit score could lead to a lower monthly payment in the long run.

So how do you make sure your credit is in the best shape possible when it’s time to buy? A recent article from NerdWallet lists a few tips you can use as you work to build and strengthen your credit. They include:

Automate Your Savings for Your House Fund

You might also be wondering how you can achieve your down payment savings goals. Bankrate provides buyers with a number of tips to help you save, including searching for down payment assistance programs and ways you can save more, faster. As the article says:

“One of the best ways to save for anything — including a down payment — is to set it and forget it. If you receive a regular paycheck, ask your employer to direct a portion of that payment into a savings account. If you’re a freelance worker or independent contractor, set up a recurring transfer from a checking account to a savings account to establish the routine.”

Get Pre-Approved

As you prepare for your purchase, you’ll also need to have a good grasp on your budget and how much you’ll be able to borrow for your home loan. That’s where the pre-approval process comes in.

Pre-approval from a lender lets you know how much money you can borrow for your home loan. And having that knowledge, plus an understanding of your savings, can help you decide on your target price range for a house.

From there, you can start browsing for houses online and see what’s available in your area in that general price point. This can help you really understand your options so you can start to picture your future home.

For Customized Advice, Build a Team of Professionals

Finally, the best way to make you’re prepared for your purchase is to connect with trusted real estate professionals. Having expert advisors in the industry will help you make strong decisions throughout the homebuying process based on your specific goals, finances, and situation. They know the market and can guide you toward the home of your dreams.

Bottom Line

If you’re ready to get the homebuying process started, connect with CA Real Estate Group to begin building your team of professionals today.

This trivia game is a great mixer for holiday parties of all ages and generations! Play as teams or individually. Make sure you prepare fun prizes for the winners! (Do a Google search for the answers.)

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Printable PDF:  Christmas Carol & Movie Trivia  (If the PDF failed to load OPEN IN SEPARATE BROWSER.)

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Homes Priced Correctly Sell Faster

Listing your property with a real estate professional will save you time, money and frustration. As you discuss the asking price, be aware of these common pitfalls.

Overpricing
By following recent home sales in your area, you can avoid unrealistic expectations stemming from runaway price growth over the past few years. Each day an overpriced house sits on the market is another day the sellers miss the opportunity to attract the right buyers. Price your property close to what you’d actually accept.

Underpricing
On the other hand, some sellers underprice their homes in hopes of starting a bidding war or making a quick sale. When your listing price is too low, you risk turning off prospective buyers who might suspect there’s something wrong with the house. You could also be leaving money on the table when would-be buyers present a lowball offer on your underpriced property.

Glossing Over the Comps
Your agent will find the best comparable sales of homes similar to yours in features, location and size. Their comparative market analysis can help you nail the asking price. You may not agree with everything in the comps, but try to be open to the information presented.

Overvaluing Upgrades and Improvements
As frustrating as it is, you’re not likely to get back 100% of what you paid for upgrades to your property. Check the comps to see what impact various improvements have made on the selling price of other homes.

Emotional Attachment
Getting too emotional when selling your house can complicate what is essentially a business transaction. Try to think of your property as a large asset you can put toward the purchase of your new home.

Checklist for Choosing a Mortgage Lender

A mortgage is a financial commitment that can affect your lifestyle for many years. Take your time selecting a mortgage banker or lender that best fits your needs and financial situation.

Whether you work with a traditional bank, credit union or specialized lender, follow these tips to find your best match.

Texture Enhances All the Senses

Texture is trending in home decor. Your artful attention to the often-overlooked sense of touch can make a huge difference in your home’s first impression. This is especially important whether you’re hosting a party or staging your home for an open house.

Let your imagination run wild when creating a cozy, inviting home. Multi-textured surroundings can dramatically warm a room, making you and your guests want to linger longer.

Pillows and accessories are great, but don’t stop there. You can add dimension and interest in many other ways.

Enhance walls with brick or stone veneer, textured wallpaper or decorative wood trim and molding. Look for affordable solutions such as removable stick-on wood panels or peel-and-stick wallpaper.

Add a woven rug to define your floor space. Shag carpet is an option for the truly daring.

Make your staging pop with cane or rattan furniture, tufted sofas or boucle-upholstered chairs. Balance colors and textures with neutrals and smooth fabrics. Pair a fuzzy throw with a leather loveseat. Draw subtle attention to unexpected spots with a vase, basket or small lamp.

Security Systems Offer Financial Savings

A home security system can provide peace of mind for you and your family and may help you save money. Consider these three benefits, according to industry analysts.

Increase Your Property Value
Buyers want a safe place to live and will likely pay more for a secure home. Reinforced exterior doors, strong locks and outdoor motion sensors also enhance the appeal of your property.

Decrease Your Insurance Costs
Some insurance companies offer a discount of up to 20% off your monthly premium if you have a professionally monitored security system.

Prevent Costly Burglaries
The average loss due to a home break-in is close to $3,000.

Why You Need an Agent With New Construction

New construction can be a challenging situation in home buying. While you get to select your favorite colors and finishes, the path from slick brochure to move-in day can be tricky. Here are some ways an experienced real estate agent can smooth that path, according to Realtor.com®.

Pro Tip: Ask your agent to join you on your first site visit so the builder is aware you won’t be using their representative.

©2022 The Personal Marketing Company. All rights reserved. Reproductions in any form, in part or in whole, are prohibited without written permission. If your property is currently listed for sale or lease, this is not intended as a solicitation of that listing. The material in this publication is for your information only and not intended to be used in lieu of seeking additional consumer or professional advice. All trademarked names or quotations are registered trademarks of their respective owners.

The Personal Marketing Company
11511 W. 83rd Terrace
Lenexa, KS 66214

Friday, December 2, 2022

Here’s everything you need to know about what’s happening in the Real Estate Market.

Real Estate News in Brief

The NAR’s Pending Sales Index for October fell 4.6% in a month and 37% compared to October 2021. Pending sales in the West region were down 46%. [Source: NAR] Keep in mind that 30-yr mortgage rates were >7% for the entire month of October. They’re now around 6.3%.

The Case-Shiller Home Price Index for September fell 1% in a month. From their peak in June, national home prices have slid ~2.5%, while prices in SFO & SEA are now down more than 10%. [Source: CoreLogic]

Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that “the time for moderating the pace of rate increases may come as soon as the December meeting” during a speech at the Brookings Institution. In other words, no more +75 bps.

The day after Powell’s comments, the PCE inflation figure for October came in at an annualized rate of 6%, better (that is to say, lower) than expectations and a further deceleration from 6.3% in September and the peak of 7% in June. [Source: BEA]

Companies added only 127k jobs in November, vs. +239k in October. This was well below Street expectations. Job losses in manufacturing & biz services dragged the total lower. [Source: ADP]

The NAHB’s Chief Economist expects a mild recession from 4Q 2022–2Q 2023, but sees mortgage rates at or below 6% by end-2023/early 2024, either because the Fed has ‘beaten’ inflation, or because the recession turns out to be bigger than expected. [Source: NAHB]

Pending Sales for October

With 30-year mortgage rates above 7% for the entire month, we knew that October pending sales would be bad — and they were. The NAR’s Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI) dropped 4.6% in a month. That’s the 5th-straight monthly decline in the PHSI. Compared to October 2021, the PHSI was down 37% YoY.

The contraction was significantly worse in the West, with October pending sales dropping 11% MoM and down 46.2% YoY. That’s right, pending sales nearly halved in the West.

Pending sales are a forward indicator of existing home sales (leading by 1–2 months). So prepare yourself for some nasty November and December existing home sales figures.

But there’s a silver lining: mortgage rates are already 90–100bps (a full percentage point) lower. As NAR’s Chief Economist Lawrence Yun wrote, “October was a difficult month for buyers as they faced 20-year-high mortgage rates…[but] The upcoming months should see a return of buyers as mortgage rates appear to have already peaked and have been coming down since mid-November.”

In fact, there are signs that a recovery in activity (thanks to lower rates) is already happening. The MBA (Mortgage Bankers Association) tracks new purchase loan applications on a weekly basis. This is the fourth week in a row that applications have risen week-on-week.

Case-Shiller for September

For the third consecutive month, home prices declined on a month-over-month basis. The national index was down 1.0% MoM, but the 20-city index was down 1.5% MoM. Don’t be fooled by the small numbers; these are big decreases. If this happened every month, prices would be down 12–18% in a year.

As in August, prices declined in each of the 20 big cities. However, for the cities experiencing the sharpest price drops (San Francisco, Seattle, Las Vegas etc.), the magnitude of price declines actually slowed a bit in September.

Source: S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index

NAHB Webinar

Here’s how the National Association of Homebuilders’ Chief Economist, Robert Dietz, sees things:

2020–2021: Unsustainable, above-trend growth in home sales
2022–2023: Compensating below-trend growth in home sales
2024+: A return to trend growth in home sales (with >1 million in new home sales annually)

He expects a mild recession for the next three quarters, unemployment rates rising to near 6% (from 3% today) in 2024 and national home prices falling ~10%. At the same time, his message was essentially optimistic — lower inflation, interest rates and home prices will bring buyers (and builders) back relatively quickly.

A few anecdotes I found interesting:

Note: In any given year, existing home sales are 7–15 times higher than new home sales. This isn’t because builders are lazy. It’s because there are around 145 million existing housing units. Even if builders were able to construct 2 million homes a year (something they’ve never achieved before), that would only raise the total housing stock by 1.3%.

Mortgage Market

After months of extreme volatility, 30-yr mortgage rates had flatlined at 6.6% for several weeks. But with another good (well, improving) inflation figure, and Powell sounding a bit less hawkish, the bond market was in party mode yesterday, rising 70–80 basis points.

Higher mortgage bond prices = lower mortgage bond yields = lower mortgage rates. Yesterday, the 30-yr mortgage rates moved sharply lower to 6.3% — that’s a full percentage point lower than the peak of 7.37% on October 20!

They Said It

“When home prices decline, it’s pretty rare for there to not be a recession.” — NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz

“To anyone with a sense of history, the home boom must be a source of wonder. Housing usually leads the economy into a recession. Mortgage rates rise, then housing construction and home sales fall.” — Robert J. Samuelson in a 2002 Newsweek article

Inspiration

There are many different approaches to measure ‘affordability.’ But they all depend on three factors: 1) household income, 2) home prices, and 3) mortgage rates.

Right now, all three factors are moving in buyers’ favor:

Plus, there are more homes available, and less competition than last year, and sellers are more willing to negotiate on things like repairs, covering some closing costs, paying for points etc.

The key is to stay in regular contact with CA Real Estate Group. Your agent will let you know about price cuts, point out stale listings, and will keep you informed about mortgage rates.  Also, waiting for the ‘perfect’ moment could be counterproductive. When (if!) conditions look perfect, they’ll look perfect to everybody else too.

The famous Christmas carol tell us that this is “the most wonderful time of the year!”  However, a lot can go wrong over the holidays.

This infographic from Iron Security advises us what to be aware of. There are safety hazards, such as frayed electrical cords, holiday theft, and fire hazards, such as when frying turkeys or burning holiday candles.  Establish these practical safety measures (even throughout the year) and make this holiday season the most wonderful time of year!

 

More people are upgrading their current property rather than moving. If you’re one of them and looking for guidance on resale value, project priorities and reputable professionals to work with to get it done, look no further! CA Real Estate Group is at your service!!

By Ana Durrani | Realtor.com | Sep 23, 2021

Do you find yourself ambling around your home looking like the Stay-Puft Marshmallow Man come winter? If you’re bundled up under layers upon layers of clothing just to keep warm in your living room, it’s probably a sign that the time has come to give your furnace a thorough once-over—and perhaps swap it out for a new one.

While replacing a furnace can be pricey, face the facts: It will be necessary at some point. Putting it off too long can actually cost you money—and can be hazardous.

“When your furnace breaks, not only is it uncomfortable, but dangerous,” says Mark Dawson, chief operating officer of One Hour Heating & Air Conditioning. “Many Americans die every year from exposure [to cold] inside their homes.”

Most furnaces are gas-powered central air systems, which first heat air and then blow it out through ducts and vents. But truly understanding how your furnace works is vitally important. Here are a few telltale signs your furnace is about to go kaput.

1. Your furnace has passed the 15-year mark

A furnace should last about 15 to 30 years before you’ll need a replacement, according to the U.S. Department of Energy. But exactly how long yours will last depends on the brand, furnace quality, and its overall efficiency.

“After 15 to 20 years, a furnace’s performance will most likely start to dwindle,” says Dawson. “While you can make repairs to the furnace, over time it’s more cost-efficient to replace the furnace altogether.”

So if your furnace is more than 15 years old, you should start looking into investing in a new one.

2. You have skyrocketing energy bills

Suddenly getting higher heating bills? This can be a blaring red signal that your system is running less efficiently.

“Over time, motors in the furnace begin to wear and use more energy to do the same amount of work they did when the unit was new,” says Todd Koehler, field manager for American Home Shield, the largest and leading home service plan provider. “This will lead to a pricier bill at the end of the month.”

Another downside to an aging furnace that has not been properly maintained? In addition to the motor, the gas valves and burners can work at a diminished efficiency, which can also cause the furnace to consume more gas.

“We often find a lot of older units showing signs of wear that can lead to inefficient operation up to the point there is a major failure,” says Koehler.

3. You notice elevated dust, soot, or rust particles

Clogged ducts can be the cause of more dirt falling from vents as well as the root cause of improper airflow to parts of the home. Very old systems—especially in homes with pets or smokers—are often in serious need of a thorough duct cleaning. And while a dirty furnace can be a sign of lack of maintenance, it could put you on the express lane to needing a replacement.

“Cleaning the burners for proper combustion will eliminate soot,” says Koehler. “And general maintenance such as duct cleaning and changing the unit’s filters will fix the dust issue.”

Plus, you’ll add to the life of your furnace in general. However, if there’s still a lot of dust after a thorough cleaning, a new furnace may be in order.

4. There’s too much humidity in the home

“A combusting furnace will dry out the air and remove humidity, which is normal,” says Koehler. But over time, the heat exchanger can develop thermal fuel residue. That residue will prevent your furnace from heating up enough to then remove humidity from the air. This can lead to higher than normal humidity—the ideal balance is between 30% to 40%—in the home.

“The opposite issue can also occur if the unit develops heat spots from years of operation,” adds Koehler. “Replacing the unit will help resolve these issues.”

5. Rooms heat unevenly

When your kitchen is hot while your den is freezing, it’s probably time to replace your furnace.

“The furnace isn’t pushing out the necessary heat throughout the home as it should,” says Dawson. “While you could have a licensed professional make repairs to the furnace, it’s a short-term solution—and the bigger problem will eventually have to be addressed.”

A good rule of thumb is if a repair costs about 50% or more of a new furnace, you should get a new one, adds Dawson.

6. Your furnace is noisy

Is your furnace loud? Or making more rattles, buzzes, or hums than a jazz trio? Then cracks, leaks, or other structural issues may be trumpeting that a new furnace is in order.

“There shouldn’t be any odd sounds coming from the furnace, apart from the typical noises a furnace makes when starting up,” says Dawson.

If you do notice things going thump in your furnace, it’s likely time to hire a licensed professional to do a maintenance check. Just keep in mind odd sounds are one of the first indicators that the furnace will need to be replaced soon.

“Cracks in the system or leaks might be more costly to repair than just biting the bullet and investing in a new furnace,” Dawson says.

Weekend Talking Points

For Wednesday, Nov 23

🦃 To keep the holiday dinner conversations peaceful, instead of talking politics and religion, talk about REAL ESTATE! Here are your talking points. (Although it could easily lead back to the aforementioned subjects so beware.) 💀

October Existing Home Sales Plunge

Much higher mortgage rates have ensured that this will be the coldest 4Q in quite some time — at least as far as existing home sales go.

According to the NAR, October existing home sales fell 5.9% month-on-month (compared to September 2022) and plunged 28.4% year-on-year (compared to October 2021). This is the 9th-consecutive monthly drop. This is much more than just a seasonal slowdown.

Note: The 4.43 million figure you see in the chart below is a seasonally-adjusted, annualized figure. 4.43 million homes were not sold in October. Instead, it’s telling you that if the pace of sales seen in October (adjusted for seasonality) continued for the next 12 months, you’d sell 4.33 million homes. This figure is just 10% above the May 2020 low of 4.07 million.

Source: NAR

In addition, there continues to be a big difference from region to region. Things were much worse in the West, where existing home sales were down 38% YoY and there was a dramatic contraction (41%-45%) in the sale of higher-end homes. On the other hand, the Northeast is performing the best (smallest contraction of 23% YoY). Also note that the big decline in homes priced between $100–250K across the US is at least partially due to fewer homes listed within that price range thanks to rapid home price increases.

October 2022 Existing Single Family Homes Sold
By Region and Sales Price

Source: NAR

Mortgage Market

After the big decline two weeks ago, average 30-year mortgage rates have hovered around the 6.6% level. This means that monthly mortgage payments are $100–200/month lower than they would have been in mid-November when rates were at 7.25% (with no points purchased).

✅ VA Loans can help make homeownership possible for those who have served our country.
✅ These loans offer great benefits for eligible individuals and can help them buy a VA-approved house or condo, build a new home, or make improvements to their house.
✅ Homeownership is the American Dream. One way we can honor and thank our veterans is to ensure they have the best information about the benefits of VA home loans.

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